5-Chart Friday (2/28/20)

By Charlie Bilello

28 Feb 2020


5 charts from the past week that tell an interesting story in markets and investing…

1) Volatility Returns

This was the largest weekly spike in the history of the Volatility Index. +135% (Note: VIX started in 1990).

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2) Historic Decline in Dow

The Dow declined 13% over the past 6 trading days. Going back to its start in 1896, this was the 47th largest 6-day decline out of 35,538 data points.

In the last 75 years, the only periods with a larger 6-day decline in the Dow than today…

October 1987 (Crash), September 2001 (post-9/11), and October 2008 (Financial Crisis).

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3) Yields Hit All-Time Lows … Again

History was made once again in the bond market.

1.65% on the 30-year and 1.13% on the 10-year.

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4) Home Prices

It was another year of gains for U.S. home prices. Many overestimate housing appreciation over time, which has averaged 3.2% per year on a nominal basis, and 0.3% after inflation (since 1891).

5) Easier Fed

The market is pricing in at least 3 more Fed rate cuts by the end of the year.

And that’s it for this week. Thanks for reading.

Have a great weekend everyone!

-Charlie

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